Background
Total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) has become the standard of care for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) and has increased pathological complete response (pCR) rates when compared to chemoradiotherapy alone. Sarcopenia is associated with poor oncological outcomes; however, the prognostic role of dynamic body composition changes during neoadjuvant therapy remains underexplored. This study aimed to assess whether CT-derived body composition changes that occur during neoadjuvant therapy predict pCR in LARC patients.
Methods
A retrospective cohort study of 111 patients (2013-2024) with LARC was conducted at Western Health. Skeletal muscle (SM), intramuscular adipose tissue, visceral adipose tissue and subcutaneous adipose tissue volume and density was quantified from diagnostic and restaging CT scans using a validated AI segmentation model. Changes in body composition during neoadjuvant treatment were analysed to determine to the impact on pCR.
Results
Increased SM volume, ≥3.0% for males and ≥2.4% for females, was associated with higher pCR rates (34.1% vs 9.5%, p=0.006), which persisted in patients treated with TNT. An increase in SM density ≥3.8% for males and ≥26.6% for females predicted pCR (38.5% vs 15%, p=0.019). Multivariable analysis identified a change in SM volume (OR 9.62, 95% CI 1.86-49.6, p=0.007) and density (OR 4.00, 95% CI 1.10-14.3, p=0.036) above the sex specific threshold to be strongly associated with pCR.
Conclusion
An increase in SM volume and density during neoadjuvant therapy has a strong positive association with complete pathological response in LARC patients.